For the Super Bowl I ALWAYS back the underdog (that’ll be the Saints then).

+5.5 for the Saints is very generous. The Colts have a very poor rush defence and I’d expect the likes of Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush to get the ball more often that they usually would. 8/1 on Thomas for first TD isn’t a bad shout either. Stats wise, only four of the last 6 Super Bowls have had a winning margin of less than 5 points.

On paper, the Colts should win but there’s no such thing as a form book here.

Tags: American Football